tool · draft

GCAM

Global Change Analysis Model from the Joint Global Change Research Institute; links energy, water, agriculture and land, the economy and climate in long-run global scenarios.

Food & land

What is reusable: open sourceunknown dataAPI unknownopen participation

GCAM, the Global Change Analysis Model, is a global model maintained by the Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI). It represents five interacting systems in one computation: the macro-economy, energy, agriculture and land use, water, and the physical climate, the last through the Hector emulator. It descends from the Edmonds-Reilly model begun in 1980, renamed MiniCAM in the 1990s and GCAM in the 2000s when the core was rewritten in C++.

It is used for what-if scenarios rather than prediction: given assumptions about population, economic growth, technology costs and policies, it solves market prices so that supply meets demand across regions and reports energy flows, land use, water use and emissions of 24 greenhouse gases and short-lived species. It has produced scenarios for assessments from the first IPCC scenarios in 1990 to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, and is coupled to downscaling tools and to an Earth system model. The release version runs 32 energy-economy regions, 396 land subregions and 235 water basins in five-year steps calibrated to 2015; GCAM-USA and GCAM-China add state and provincial detail.

A community model: free to download from GitHub, with a C++ core, an R data system that builds its XML inputs, and XML outputs. It runs on Windows, Linux, Mac and high-performance computing systems. Support is through GitHub issues and a listserv only; modified versions must be named GCAM-something.

Current release v8.2, under continuing development.

form
Integrated assessment model
group
Ecosystems and land
homepage
https://jgcri.github.io/gcam-doc/

helps answer this question

  • If land changes use, farm to housing, forest to pasture, floodplain to park, what happens to water, habitat, carbon and food?

cited by

  • Recent reports, from a creek in Kentucky to the Strait of Hormuz, each read for the question someone there would put to a model of their place, and the kind of model that would answer it.

Tags: integrated assessment, scenarios, emissions

staging: drafts and proposals shown