Articles
Pieces written here and elsewhere.
Articles
Annual update of sixteen planetary vital signs by William Ripple, Christopher Wolf and colleagues in BioScience; in 2026 seven of the sixteen are at record extremes.
2023 editorial review by Yongze Song and colleagues of how geocomputation and GeoAI are used in mapping, with a taxonomy of mapping applications and of the data types that feed them.
Multi-breadbasket failures, climate change, and risks for crop prices and regional consumption article draftPaper by Kilian Kuhla and colleagues at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Environmental Research Letters; drives Agrimate, an agent-based model of global grain trade, with scenarios of simultaneous crop failures to estimate price spikes and regional consumption loss.
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Essay by a climate data visualiser at the Copernicus Climate Change Service (ECMWF) on how the charts in its climate bulletins and reports are made, from daily variable tracking to the final graphic.
Paper in Science Advances led by Climate Central, by Daniel M. Gilford, Yucheng Lin, Kristina Dahl, Andrew J. Pershing, Robert E. Kopp and Benjamin H. Strauss, that estimates how much of the rise in extreme water levels at 519 tide gauges worldwide is due to human-caused sea level rise.
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Explainer from the Copernicus Marine Service on how ocean forecasts are made: observations fed into physics-based models, data assimilation, and machine learning for gap-filling, sea ice reconstruction and marine heatwave detection.
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A 73% average decline in wildlife populations: an overview of the 2026 Living Planet Index report article draftHannah Ritchie at Our World in Data explains what the 2026 Living Planet Index's headline figure measures and what it does not, and shows that about half of the studied wildlife populations are declining while the rest are stable or increasing.
A scalable and generic framework for city-wide traffic prediction with large language model article draft2026 Nature Communications paper by Jinlei Zhang and colleagues at Beijing Jiaotong University, King's College London and Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; proposes LLM-UTP, one language-model-based model that predicts short-term traffic flow across metro, bus, bike, taxi, freeway and rail in 29 cities and areas, with code and most data released.
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Nature paper by Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann and Jakob Zscheischler that ranks CMIP6 climate models by a sector-specific impact driver and shows that at 2 °C of warming the worst-case models for floods, breadbasket droughts and forest fire weather exceed the model average at 3 °C.
- Mapping coastal forest retreat using convolutional neural networks and different satellite imagery article draft
2026 PLOS One paper by Titilayo Tajudeen and colleagues at North Carolina State University that classifies Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery with convolutional neural networks to track forest turning into ghost forest and marsh on the North Carolina coastal plain between 1985 and 2021.
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A running model of a place is four things that are built, bought and broken separately: data, an ontology, an engine, and a presentation.
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Recent reports, from a creek in Kentucky to the Strait of Hormuz, each read for the question someone there would put to a model of their place, and the kind of model that would answer it.
- Sea-level contribution from Thwaites Glacier doubles in an observation-constrained ice-sheet model article draft
Paper in Nature Communications by Mattia Poinelli, Eric Rignot, Hélène Seroussi and colleagues that calibrates the ISSM ice-sheet model of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, to observations from 1996 to 2023 and runs it forward to 2100.
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- WildCity: A Real-World City-Scale Testbed for Rendering, Simulation, and Spatial Intelligence article draft
2026 paper by Xiangyu Han, Yiming Li, Chen Feng and colleagues at New York University, May Mobility, NVIDIA and Stanford that introduces a multimodal driving dataset covering six US cities, a 3D Gaussian Splatting reconstruction baseline for city-scale street scenes, and a closed-loop simulator built from the reconstructions.