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The 2026 state of the climate report: challenges and opportunities
Annual update of sixteen planetary vital signs by William Ripple, Christopher Wolf and colleagues in BioScience; in 2026 seven of the sixteen are at record extremes.
Weather & climateWaterFireLiving systems
The yearly report in BioScience that tracks the state of Earth's climate system through a short list of planetary vital signs, alongside indicators of the human activities driving the change. The 2026 edition, published on 14 October 2026, finds seven of its sixteen climate indicators at record extremes, and several showing accelerating trends or abrupt shifts. Fossil fuel combustion remains the dominant driver. The authors note the rapid growth of renewable electricity and battery storage, and judge it far below the scale and speed needed.
The sixteen climate-related series in its first figure, grouped as the paper groups them:
- Greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide concentrations.
- Temperature: surface temperature anomaly, and extremely hot days relative to 1961–1990.
- Ocean: ocean heat content, ocean acidity (pH) and sea level relative to the 1993 mean.
- Ice: minimum Arctic sea ice, Greenland and Antarctic ice mass, and glacier thickness.
- Energy balance: Earth's energy imbalance and global average albedo.
- Fire: area burned in the United States and global tree cover loss due to fires.
The paper is behind the publisher's standard reuse terms; its figures are not reproduced here. The Vitals page of this wiki keeps a smaller set of six running series drawn from open daily and weekly feeds.
- url
- https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biag125
- published
- 2026-10-14
- publisher
- BioScience (Oxford University Press)
- authors
- William J. Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Michael E. Mann, Johan Rockström, Unai Pascual, Jillian W. Gregg, Chi Xu, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Thomas M. Newsome, Jacob Bukoski, Anjal Prakash
discussed in
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Six running measurements of the planet's state, refreshed from their sources at every deploy.
Tags: climate, vital signs, indicators, report, tipping points